I have just finished reading “Whoops! Why everyone owes everyone and no one can pay”, by John Lanchester. Totally brilliant. A must read (and no I am not on commission or part of any affiliate arrangement). John is a journalist and author who in his book “Cityphilia” published at the beginning of 2008 predicted a worldwide crash based on the misuse of financial derivatives. In Whoops, John explains in terms that even I can understand what brought the banks crashing down, resulting in widespread bank bailouts in 7 of the G8 economies (Canada being the exception due interestingly to much tighter banking regulation).
He explains the technical complexities of Credit Default Swaps and Collateralised Debt Obligations in a way that even I can understand. The numbers are terrifying, the behaviour of the banks incredulous, the level of risk taken unbelievable and the ineptitude of the regulators staggering.
How, for example, was a situation allowed to develop that permitted the banks to collateralise “sub prime” mortgage debt (money lent to people who really can’t afford the repayments) and sell it to each other (offloading the risk to some poor unsuspecting but greedy financial institution (the cause of the demise of AIG) based on “AAA” ratings from the ratings agencies? In other words the banks (who paid the ratings agencies to rate the debt) somehow managed to persuade the ratings agencies to rate this sub prime debt at the same risk level as US treasury Bills! (Quelle surprise)
I found myself getting more and more angry at the greed, ineptitude, deceit, incompetence, arrogance and ambivalence of a relatively small number of people, that has resulted in the situation we now find ourselves in and for which there is a big price to pay for the next decade (and possibly generation). End of rant!
John makes a potentially “heavy” subject so entertaining and easy to follow whilst remaining totally authoritative. I found myself laughing out loud at the analogies used. Do yourself a favour. Buy this book. Being really angry and laughing out loud at the same time is a unique experience!
Anon